A company closes the quarter with net income of +20 and operating cash flow of -10. There is a gap of 30 to explain.

That gap is worth investigating before attaching a health judgement to it. The previous article connected the three financial statements; this one stays with a narrower problem: why can reported profit rise without the same amount of cash arriving? Accrual accounting is part of the answer, but it does not tell us which balance absorbed the cash or what happened operationally.

Start with what each number measures

Accrual accounting records economic effects when the relevant recognition conditions are met. The associated cash can arrive earlier or later. The IFRS Conceptual Framework sets out that timing distinction by describing changes in economic resources and claims during a period, rather than reducing performance to cash receipts and payments.

A sale may enter revenue before the customer pays. An expense may affect profit in one period while the payment falls in another.

Cash can also arrive first, with revenue recognised later when the recognition conditions are met. Profit measures period performance under the relevant accounting rules; cash flow records the cash that actually moved during the period. Neither measure replaces the other.

Walk the indirect cash-flow reconciliation

Return to the example and keep every figure in the same unit. Net income is +20 and operating cash flow is -10.

Profit-to-CFO bridgeAmount
Net income+20
Depreciation / other non-cash adjustment+5
Increase in accounts receivable-30
Increase in inventory-15
Increase in accounts payable+10
Operating cash flow-10

The arithmetic closes:

20 + 5 - 30 - 15 + 10 = -10

IAS 7 Statement of Cash Flows describes the indirect method as an adjustment from profit or loss for non-cash effects and changes in operating items such as inventories, receivables and payables. The SEC’s Beginners’ Guide to Financial Statements explains the same basic reason that net income and operating cash can diverge.

In this bridge, receivables and inventory absorb the most cash, while the increase in payables postpones some cash outflow. That is enough to reconcile the numbers. It is not enough to say why those balances moved.

Illustrative reconciliation from +20 net income to -10 operating cash flow through +5 non-cash, -30 receivables, -15 inventory and +10 payables adjustments

Receivables, inventory and payables set the timing

The term “working capital” needs a scope before it is useful. Broad net working capital is often described as current assets minus current liabilities. For this profit-to-CFO bridge, the operating lens is narrower: accounts receivable, inventory and accounts payable. Customer prepayments or contract liabilities will matter as a counterexample later, but other current assets and liabilities are not being folded into this definition by default.

Receivables. A company can recognise a sale before collecting from the customer. The unpaid amount remains in accounts receivable, so a rise in receivables can absorb operating cash even while revenue and profit are positive.

Inventory. Cash may be spent to buy or produce goods before those goods are sold. The inventory remains on the balance sheet until the sale moves the relevant cost through profit. A build can therefore absorb cash, although the business interpretation depends on why stock increased. Peak-season preparation, shorter customer lead times and a higher service level can all raise inventory; slower sell-through or weak demand can do the same.

Payables. When suppliers have delivered but the company has not yet paid them, an increase in accounts payable postpones part of the cash outflow. Longer payment periods may come from better negotiated terms, or from bills slipping overdue. A higher DPO is not, by itself, evidence of an economic improvement.

A balance movement still needs an operating explanation

Take the -30 increase in receivables from the bridge. It could come from fast sales growth that leaves a larger closing balance, genuinely slower collections, payment terms that were deliberately extended from 30 to 60 days, a shift towards customers or channels with longer payment cycles, or several of those effects at once.

The SEC’s public-company MD&A guidance uses receivables to show why the cause of a trend matters. A change in credit policy or payment terms can have implications for future liquidity, so management may need to explain the driver rather than merely report the movement in the balance. SEC Commission Guidance Regarding MD&A

Once the reconciliation points to a balance, the operating checks depend on that balance:

  • for receivables, inspect sales growth, DSO, ageing, payment terms and customer mix;
  • for inventory, inspect sell-through, ageing, purchasing patterns, lead times and stock-outs;
  • for payables, inspect supplier terms, purchasing volume and overdue balances.

Inventory can rise because the business is preparing for growth, because purchasing or lead times changed, because of seasonality, or because goods are moving more slowly. Payables can rise after better supplier terms, different purchase timing or deliberate cash management, but also when obligations are being stretched.

Growth itself does not fix the direction of the cash effect. It can absorb cash when receivables and inventory expand faster than operating cash inflows.

In a prepayment model, the timing can reverse: customers may pay before the company delivers the service, so growth brings in cash before the related revenue and cost are fully reflected in profit. Prepaid subscriptions, gift-card models and some other negative-working-capital structures can behave very differently from businesses that extend credit and carry stock.

For the company in front of you, find out whether cash arrives before delivery or only after the business has funded it.

Use CCC to track the cycle

The Cash Conversion Cycle gives a compact way to monitor operating timing once the components are understood:

CCC = DIO + DSO - DPO

DIO is days inventory outstanding, DSO is days sales outstanding and DPO is days payables outstanding. CFA Institute’s discussion of the Cash Conversion Cycle presents it as a way to think about the time involved in converting operating investment back into cash.

If CCC moves from 45 days to 60, the aggregate cycle has lengthened. The movement still has to be decomposed into DSO, DIO and DPO, then tied back to operating evidence. The calculation also needs a consistent basis: an annual analysis might use 365 days throughout, whereas quarterly or rolling analyses may use different period conventions. DPO can change materially depending on whether the denominator uses purchases, cost of goods sold or another company-specific convention.

A lower CCC is not a universal sign of a better business. A prepaid subscription company and an inventory-heavy retailer can have very different normal working-capital structures, so a direct ranking may say little about either company’s operating quality.

Check the liquidity position separately

Liquidity asks whether the company can meet obligations as they come due using sources that are actually available. The SEC’s MD&A guidance discusses that question in terms of cash requirements, available sources, known commitments, trends and uncertainties. The source is written for public-company disclosure. For management analysis, the useful boundary is the same: cash requirements have to be matched against sources that are actually available. SEC MD&A liquidity guidance

Three boundaries are useful here:

  • positive profit does not guarantee adequate liquidity;
  • one period of negative operating cash flow does not prove distress;
  • reported cash should not be treated as fully usable liquidity before restrictions and access are checked.

Cash-related balances may be constrained by purpose, contract, legal entity or other restrictions. FASB’s treatment of restricted cash sits within a US GAAP context and should not be imported wholesale into IFRS classification.

The narrower point here is availability: a cash-related balance on the statement does not establish that management can use every unit for every obligation at any time. FASB ASU 2016-18

Free cash flow needs a definition

FCF can be useful when the calculation is explicit. A common version is:

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures

Free cash flow is not a globally standardised financial-statement line with one universal calculation. The SEC’s Non-GAAP C&DI states that it has no uniform definition. When a company, investor or management team uses FCF as a headline measure, check how that particular FCF is calculated before interpreting it. SEC Non-GAAP Financial Measures C&DI

Runway and minimum cash are forward-looking management constructs rather than audited accounting measures. A useful version starts with genuinely usable cash, expected inflows and outflows, available financing and an explicit minimum threshold. There is no single universal formula to inherit without checking those assumptions.

A practical order for the next mismatch

When the P&L looks healthy while cash is falling, ask:

  1. What does accrual profit say happened during the period?
  2. Which adjustments reconcile profit to operating cash flow?
  3. Which working-capital balances moved, and what operating evidence explains why they moved?
  4. After those cash effects, are the available liquidity sources sufficient for the obligations ahead?

If the team also uses FCF, runway or minimum cash, add a fifth: what exact definition and assumptions are we using? If question three is still unsupported by operating evidence, the answer is not ready yet.

References